View the MMABETMACHINE Stakes for UFC ESPN3 below:
Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the toes and a durable style to embrace brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by specialized boxers but against the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top aggressive striker for the branch, he was very competitive. Perry is strong in the clinch but his takedown defense is still unproven against a legitimate grappler. Cowboy could exploit the ground game as he’s underrated wrestling, but he tends to struggle with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent problem and here against Perry that could be a significant mistake. He has large electricity himself but both men are quite hittable. On the toes it probably favours Perry, at least to the first half of the fight when he’s most dangerous. Start Looking for a back and on warfare, with the durability of Perry making the difference — as both guys absorb deep damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a three battle losing streak but has been competitive in all fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old that he brings a much less aggressive style nowadays which has lead to six sequential decisions. His output looks to be slowing but his exact boxing style remains, allowing him to work behind a jab against diminished opponents. Sakai is much younger so could still be advancing, but so far has failed to impress. He’s large and throws powerful yet slow singular strikes, with low volume. Mostly a fighter, Arlovski won’t have to be worried about too many different weapons.
This is very likely to be a gradual fight with the more effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to avoid exchanges and poke Sakai in the exterior or use his wrestling to maintain him against the fence. If he can avoid becoming caught a decision here is probably for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski in 2.30 (+130) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a severe BJJ blackbelt which makes her UFC debut with a 14-0 record. She has jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst limited with striking, she’s constant with takedowns and has a wide array of methods to get conflicts to the ground. On top she is very solid, keeping control and attacking subs. That is obviously a large step up in competition from Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not shown great takedown shield to match her wrestling skills. She would be best to try and keep this fight standing where her improved striking ought to be able to edge out quantity.
Jandiroba isn’t proven at this level but looks to be the real deal, displaying exceptional technique and composure. Worst case scenario Esparza is able to defend her off back and make scrambles to induce dramatic exchanges, taking us to a close decision. A much better position is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and securing a unanimous decision or finding a entry. An Esparza finish is quite unlikely. Given the chances and respective avenues to victory, a shot to the newcomer in money is good price.
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