The Chicago Cubs’ odds to win the National League Central would be the shortest they have been . The St. Louis Cardinals are just two games ago while the Milwaukee Brewers trail by 2.5. Is there value with both of both trailers or would be the Cubs that the best bet to win this division?
*Odds as of 12/08/2019.
Even though the Cubs can not appear to pull away in the Central, they have seemed to be the most consistent team this past season. More importantly, they have picked up their game during the last month as they have been 19-12 in their last 31 games.
Even the Cubs rank fifth in staff ERA and are seventh in OPS, therefore they are a balanced group. A huge issue for them has been the late innings and saves as they have blown 21 saves — the third-most in the majors. However, keep in mind that they signed Craig Kimbrel and he has been fairly reliable for them, although he is hurt at the moment.
It seems like the Cardinals can’t really get. They’ve largely been about a .500 staff this season, marginally hovering over that mark. They came out of the gates in the second half of this year with wins in 12 of the first 14 games. Then they took two from the Chicago Cubs.
However, the Cards quickly gave it back, dropping five in a row. It feels like this group is a couple of bricks short of a load. They did not help the roster in the trade deadline and this is precisely that they are. Their crime ranks 25th in runs 24th and scored in OPS. It’s simply not great enough — in a weak division.
Of the three contenders in the race, the Cards are the worst record against winning teams since they’re only 30-35 (13th at the Majors) whereas the Brewers are 36-29 (fourth) whereas the Cubs are 33-31 (seventh). That is not a fantastic indication for St. Louis.
It is difficult for me to put on board with the Brewers as they’ve largely reflected the Cardinals this year: been close to .500 but hovered round a mark marginally over it. They were 47-44 at the All-Star break and then began the second half 9-6, but are 6-7 since.
Pitching is a battle with this team as they’ve ignored six saves since the All-Star Game. On the calendar year, their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.38, which is 17th.
On offense, the Brewers likely have the best player in this division in Christian Yelich. He is batting .335 and contains 39 home runs but even with those extraordinary amounts, the Brewers are simply 17th in team batting average 24th in home runs because the All-Star break. I really don’t think they have the equilibrium to bring this house.
The Brewers and Cardinals had to help themselves at the trade deadline and they didn’t. The Cubs made moves together with the registering of Kimbrel before the deadline and also Nick Castellanos in its purchase. They also picked up Tony Kemp and Derek Holland.
Keep in mind that the Cubs have dealt with a slew of injuries too but should get healthy. Together with Kimbrel coming shortly and Pedro Strop rear, this will be the team. They are the best choice.
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