Predicting the winner of the Academy Award for Best Picture is never easy.
We were sure the top prize at the 2019 Oscars would go to”Roma” but it was”Green Book” that won. In thinking up our 2020 Oscar predictions, we considered a slew of factors, starting with the preferential ballot used to ascertain the winner. Add in the pedigree of the filmmakers, the critical reception into the movies, the box office tally and the track record of the studios. We take each these into account as we look ahead into the 2020 Academy Awards. (Scroll down for the newest 2020 Oscars forecasts for Best Picture.)
Contenders began to emerge at the Sundance Film Festival in January. Others will be viewed for the first time at the Cannes Film Festival in May. However, the majority of the best grade of Best Picture hopefuls won’t display until September in film festivals: Venice, Telluride, Toronto and New York. And a few will likely be held back till the last weeks of eligibility, getting limited releases in December.
We called”Roma” for a strong contender at the Academy awards for Best Picture because it had been the first movie from Alfonso Cuaron after he won Best Director for”Gravity.” It dominated the critics awards and reaped a major 10 Oscar nominations. The multi-hyphenate Cuaron won as director, cinematographer and producer of the Best Foreign Language Film of the year.
“Green Book” was named Best Picture despite its helmer, Peter Farrelly, being snubbed by the directors division of the academy. He’d share in the Original Screenplay triumph and Mahershala Ali took home his next Supporting Actor Oscar in three years to get a scene-stealing turn as jazz musician Don Shirley.
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