The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two quick 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 preferred to collect another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a solid start to his period that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you look at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and recent results into account.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR last year, including properly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it’s off to a powerful start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events at places like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His model has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can inform you the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot 25-1 NASCAR chances. He’s a goal for anybody looking for a huge payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to some 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in among the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out a year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He’ll also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

One of the shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favourite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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