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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins complete, TJ appears sharp and has proven himself well ready for the 125lb branch. On the feet he ought to have a significant edge over Cejudo. The length of TJ, together with his unorthodox style, will allow him to land serious volume against the limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks will be a mortal option against the front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and significant top control if he is to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s opportunities to shoot and on the ground he will be difficult to control for long periods. Overall the path to success looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who conveys good aerobic and much superior volume to win more than 5 rounds. The bet is TJ Dillashaw to become the double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some defects to their match but stylistically this is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but probably faster with more quantity. Ostovich has a simpler fashion but neither fighter is very likely to land substantial harm . The strength and size of Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the earth where the two girls have a tendency to bring the fight. Vanzant is tenacious but requires insecure options and leaves a lot of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her exceptional control means she’ll spend a great deal more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth struggle where we get good value about the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is making her debut following an impressive run since the KSW winner. Matching up with Calderwood she has the benefit in most regions. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overwhelming for Calderwood who lacks speed and head motion. This battle is probably to perform out on the toes but even on the mat it’s Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming off a”lucky” submission win in a fight where she was having a lot of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and fights with heart. In 24 years old she also will be revealing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style that’s proven against Cowboy with his rapid start and relentless pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone from the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a submission off his back but that’s a small probability against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez will be a lot for the veteran to manage with just 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the fall back to 155lb is not likely to help his durability problems.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch struggle in the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Now it’s Ortiz who has proven the newest improvements in his game, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does seem like he’s marginally diminishing in his recent appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a few avenues to victory. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of quantity, but packs considerable power. Benavidez has been wobbled consistently lately conflicts suggesting his durability is fading. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight as Ortiz brings a relentless grinding speed. This ought to be a close fight that looks to be lined overly wide.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably to his later years and together with his durability fading his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t famous for his striking yet discovered enormous success himself on the feet in his final fight against Glover. The obvious issue for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns however if he does not get an early submission it will be tough to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it to the mat his options look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a solid bet.
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