The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
The green flag drops at two p.m. ET for the 325-lap race and defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the most current 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta odds are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four last week at the Daytona 500. Before you make your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 picks and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, be sure to have a look at the projected leaderboard from the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into consideration.
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It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the start. Anyone who has followed its picks is way, way up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his version mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we can tell you that the model is top on Chase Elliott, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he has had success there at all three of his starts in the track since linking the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished inside the top 10 in every one of these races and even earned a top-five end in 2017.
Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his dad, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level at Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it’s something of a house monitor for the 23-year-old. The model anticipates him to ride that advantage towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.
Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, among the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five.
The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up began on the rod in this race a season before, but ended up finishing in seventh position. The year before, he had yet another fast ride in qualifying and began the race , but wound up in 16th.
Since his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll need to cover him.
The model can be targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Atlanta chances of 10-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these long shots could hit it big.
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