This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Minnesota. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $130k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. There are only 14 more chairs remaining so that there won’t be far more time to qualify if you’re trying to. I will attempt to get my 3rd chair this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, then I will probably have a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jared Gordon — $9,200
I enjoy Gordon to get the win this weekend and he will be a cash match play of mine . There are far better fights to target if we’re looking for 1st round knockouts however I’ll be focusing more on people in GPPs. I like the floor and the ceiling of Gordon here and that’s why he’s the money play of the week. I don’t think Moret has got the ability to actually examine the chin of Gordon’s that has seemed to be his main weakness recently. With the speed Gordon sets I think he’s 100+ upside in a choice win and I really don’t see him getting completed here so he should have a solid floor. I think his flooring in a triumph is likely 80+ as well which is completely fine for cash games. This is a tricky weak, but this is my personal favorite money game spot of this week.
GPP drama of the week — Francis Ngannou — $8,800
I had to proceed with Ngannou here. When he wins it is probably that a 1st round knockout. Which is +100 on the gambling line. If he receives that 1st round KO, then he scores over 100 DK points and at his $8.8k salary which will put him on the 25k lineup. He will be quite chalky this week though so make sure you load up on him if you are multi-entering if you want to get leverage within the field. I really do think JDS is a live underdog here too, so I will be targeting both sides of the fight, but I do observe 100-105 DK points coming from Ngannou here which could beat a good deal of the fighters priced above him.
Underdog play of this week — Junior Albini — $8,000
I truly don’t love this card this week because I’m not picking any actual underdogs with any confidence. Albini is the only man who’d be considered an underdog I do believe will win and I did pick him outright and put 1u on him as my free bet of the week. On DraftKings we are getting him for $200 less than Greene but I would not be surprised if Albini was the favored on the gambling line moving into the conflicts. With these men being Heavyweights, it does not take much to acquire a knockout and if Albini can do this at $8k he can give me a rush in the perfect lineup.
Fade of the week — Emily Whitmire $8,500
I faded Whitmire in her preceding fight also and she burnt me scoring a 1st round submission. I’m going back to the fade though and trusting the same does not occur. On a card where I am picking basically every favorite, I’d rather select the fighters with 1st round knockout upside over Whitmire at her $8.5k price tag. I am not sure that moving to the ground is at her very best interest in this struggle and when she stays standing I don’t see her paying off worth in a triumph. If I was making 150 lineups this week then I’d be taking some shots on Whitmire, but I will likely only make ~20 and that I won’t make my player pool with that many lineups.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I’m 83-52 to get +251.89un (+$25,421) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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