Together with the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three weeks away, it is time to begin having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two bouts on the card already have lines released, and they are about as different as could be. In the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (bet $910 to win $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first battle, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the greatest anti upsets in UFC history. This time, the odds are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting in -140 and Barao the small underdog at +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight extra bouts on the card which up until now didn’t have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas changed that today as he released the complete UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ———— MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I really want Bethe Correia to win this battle, so I do not need to hear anything about the ridiculous”Four Horsewomen” ever again. That said, Correia hasn’t confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I believe Baszler can wade through Correia’s striking and drag this battle to the floor where she’ll have a distinct advantage. The biggest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, which is more than enough to keep me away from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the feet a few times before, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe won’t be able to fall back on his wrestling if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be very competitive in most areas, but Ferguson has minor edges that ought to propel him to victory. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late night makes him look more like a 37-year-old. He looked totally listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the flip side, Derek Brunson provided the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It seems like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a prospect while at Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is a very tough bout to predict in terms of a side or a total, so I’ll likely stay away entirely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling edge here, but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the much greater entry grappler, and likely even the greater striker at this stage (although Nijem’s improvement in that respect last time out was fine to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another end on his resume either from his submission abilities or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for fascinating bouts when he had been confronting completely overmatched competition, so now that he’s up against a legitimate evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical advantages here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, naturally. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to prevent Jorgensen, but I think he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo handed one of the vital tests for prospects in his last outing as well, becoming cracked square on the jaw and shaking off it to win not just the combat, but round too. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how focused is he? Maybe being signed by the UFC was the impetus he needed to begin taking the game seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) using Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he’s been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen he may not be able to eliminate a half attempt, and when he does it’ll make him even more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His only loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he has generally been able to restrain and outhustle competitions to pick up choices. That will be difficult against Ruslan Magomedov, that actually possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go together with his strong striking. Coming off of nearly a year layoff, it is difficult to expect much from Odoms, therefore that I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I fully expect to fade when he can get a few more wins and face decent competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out in this stage. His striking defense appeared atrocious against both Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, and his entry match was practically non-existent as he was tapped within seconds of hitting the ground against Miller. Maybe that may work to the advantage of his backers from Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even in this time. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, rather than many different abilities, so Medeiros has this struggle to win as long as he doesn’t dive in that weapon. Edwards will probably come out quickly, since he must know that a win will mark the end of the UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the loser of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door as well, because both place on putrid dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not too talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed massive holes in his own grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out by one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either man could finish this fight quickly and that I wouldn’t be amazed, or else they could play it safe and we can be treated to some truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the cost for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I might just take a shot there in hopes that the bout is of the bad selection, but I can’t see myself putting considerably more than Monopoly money down on this contest.

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